Why banks (don't) keep their net-zero promises: A reality check

Globally, banks have committed to net-zero emissions in their investment and lending activities by 2050, but the likelihood of them reaching pledged emission reductions is unclear. Without regulatory backing, effective implementation of voluntary climate pledges is prevented by banks' fear of suffering market disadvantages, shows a study of ETH Zurich.

by Mischa Aeschlimann, Scientific Assistant TdLab, ETH Zurich
symbolbild
Regulatory support is needed to ensure that banks keep their net-zero promises.   Photo: Unic / Adobe Stock

Since the adoption of the Paris Agreement that anchored the alignment of finance flows with low greenhouse gas emissions as one of its objectives, a groundswell of banks have publicly committed to reaching net-zero greenhouse gas emissions across their lending and investment portfolios by 2050. This development spurred hope about the finance sector leveraging its global power to accelerate decarbonization efforts worldwide, but uncertainties prevail around the actual mitigation outcomes that can be expected from banks’ efforts to implement net-zero targets.

To address this issue a study by Mischa Aeschlimann examined the practical opportunities to operationalize voluntary climate pledges in Swiss mortgage-lending practices and their likelihood of implementation through an extensive stakeholder consultation. "Although banks have measures at their disposal to reach pledged climate targets, implementation is hindered by banks fearing to experiencing market disadvantages should competitors fail to follow suit," states Aeschlimann. "Absent regulatory backing, banks efforts to pursue net-zero targets will be limited to measures with anticipated limited to negligible impact on decarbonizing financed housing stock, presenting the high risk that the public and policymakers currently overestimate the potential impact of banks’ voluntary climate pledges on emission reduction efforts."

Measures to promote fossil heating replacement and energy renovation in financed buildings were evaluated in a consultation workshop. The x-axis shows the minimum governance level required for implementation, the y-axis the anticipated effectiveness.
Measures to promote fossil heating replacement and energy renovation in financed buildings were evaluated in a consultation workshop. The x-axis shows the minimum governance level required for implementation, the y-axis the anticipated effectiveness. Figure: Mischa Aeschlimann, 2025

This issue resonates beyond the Swiss context and calls into question the inherent value of banks’ voluntary net-zero commitments worldwide. Policy makers around the globe must now critically scrutinize these commitments and put policy structures in place that enable banks to reach pledged climate targets.

Reference

Aeschlimann, M. (2025). Banks’ climate commitments: a silver lining for climate action or just hot air? First evidence from the Swiss mortgage business. Climate Policy, 1–17. doi: external page 10.1080/14693062.2025.2471342